Just a guy watching sports and making money.
Model and Monte Carlo sims for MLB and NFL
- 1We model every player
- 2Simulate each game
- 3Put it next to the line
Tonight's free game
Free MLBWed 8:00 PM ET
3.5
Projected
score
2.5
Win chance
Projected total6.0
Likely rangeNot available yet
Player projections
- Jacob MisiorowskiStrikeouts6.35Line 11.598% under
- Jackson ChourioTotal bases1.75Line 1.558% under
- Jackson ChourioHits + runs + RBIs2.02Line 1.552% over
Cyan numbers are the model's. % is how often the sims land on that side.
Free and Full Access
| Feature | Free | Full |
|---|---|---|
| One free game every slateMLB daily; NFL weekly when there is no MLB game | ✓ | ✓ |
| Projected score, win chance, totalEvery game on the slate | ✓ | ✓ |
| Likely ranges and scoutingLow, typical and high outcomes on every game | ✓ | ✓ |
| Player projections with chance over the lineOn the free game; NFL is projections only | ✓ | ✓ |
| The model's picks and bet sizes | — | ✓ |
| Model vs market, other gamesHow far the model sits from each line; the free game already shows its own | — | ✓ |
| Matchup grades and trends | — | ✓ |
| NFL lines | — | ✓ |
Need an invite? DM @DaftyDimes on X